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Red230
492671.7
23483.7
101878.2
Blue107
498254.1
394058.9
394778.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23620350100150300350400450230107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#4
83.70.3
79.278.9
Auto11.4
Teleop37.9
End34.4
red by 5.6
3947
#24
78.12.0
80.178.1
Auto8.6
Teleop33.7
End35.8
Second
1018
#30
78.20.3
73.773.3
Auto13.7
Teleop40.5
End24.0
red by 19.3
58.92.0
60.958.9
Auto9.7
Teleop34.1
End15.1
Third
4926
#15
71.70.4
66.766.3
Auto9.9
Teleop32.2
End29.7
red by 17.6
4982
#16
54.12.0
56.154.1
Auto7.5
Teleop25.8
End20.8