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Red500
3452120.1
2767123.8
118111.1
Blue203
5406112.8
1746100.7
4272103.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions431393100200300500600700500203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.81.2
121.0122.2
Auto24.7
Teleop66.3
End32.8
red by 11.0
5406
#29
112.82.8
115.5112.8
Auto22.9
Teleop51.5
End38.5
Second
3452
#45
120.11.2
117.3118.5
Auto14.6
Teleop50.4
End55.1
red by 16.7
4272
#10
103.42.8
107.0104.2
Auto13.1
Teleop49.4
End40.9
Third
118
#14
111.11.2
108.3109.5
Auto25.3
Teleop55.2
End30.5
red by 10.4
1746
#55
100.72.8
104.3101.5
Auto18.2
Teleop44.2
End38.3