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Red254
118111.1
172094.2
2481118.6
Blue385
1676116.5
2767123.8
3452120.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353367200250300400450254385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#16
118.65.5
123.4117.9
Auto27.3
Teleop55.4
End35.9
blue by 5.2
123.82.5
118.5121.0
Auto24.7
Teleop66.3
End32.8
Second
118
#14
111.15.5
113.9108.3
Auto25.3
Teleop55.2
End30.5
blue by 9.0
3452
#45
120.12.5
114.8117.3
Auto14.6
Teleop50.4
End55.1
Third
1720
#60
94.25.5
99.794.2
Auto13.0
Teleop59.0
End22.2
blue by 22.3
1676
#24
116.52.5
114.0116.5
Auto14.7
Teleop52.8
End49.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
42%Rotor oddsEarned84%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
97%Pressure oddsEarned72%Pressure oddsEarned