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Red335
3452120.1
2767123.8
118111.1
Blue265
1746100.7
4272103.4
91095.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions438376200300400500600335265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.80.9
122.2121.3
Auto24.7
Teleop66.3
End32.8
red by 20.4
4272
#10
103.40.8
104.2103.4
Auto13.1
Teleop49.4
End40.9
Second
3452
#45
120.10.9
118.5117.6
Auto14.6
Teleop50.4
End55.1
red by 19.4
1746
#55
100.70.8
101.5100.7
Auto18.2
Teleop44.2
End38.3
Third
118
#14
111.10.9
109.5108.6
Auto25.3
Teleop55.2
End30.5
red by 15.8
910
#51
95.30.8
96.295.3
Auto15.3
Teleop51.1
End28.9