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Red556
3452120.1
2767123.8
118111.1
Blue513
1114137.3
2122128.9
1885113.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4204960100200300600700800556513

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.81.9
122.6124.5
Auto24.7
Teleop66.3
End32.8
blue by 13.5
137.30.3
137.0137.3
Auto30.2
Teleop56.1
End51.0
Second
3452
#45
120.11.9
118.9120.8
Auto14.6
Teleop50.4
End55.1
blue by 8.8
128.90.3
128.6128.9
Auto32.5
Teleop52.7
End43.8
Third
118
#14
111.11.9
109.9111.8
Auto25.3
Teleop55.2
End30.5
blue by 1.9
1885
#54
113.00.3
112.7113.0
Auto12.9
Teleop53.4
End46.8