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Red256
29283.2
2194100.2
213794.0
Blue305
2590107.9
4888.5
1676116.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3053500100200400500600700256305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#30
100.23.0
111.9108.9
Auto14.8
Teleop44.3
End41.1
blue by 16.3
1676
#24
116.51.5
121.4119.9
Auto14.7
Teleop52.8
End49.1
Second
2137
#42
94.03.0
89.986.9
Auto17.6
Teleop44.7
End31.7
blue by 13.9
2590
#20
107.91.5
115.6114.1
Auto13.8
Teleop54.8
End39.3
Third
292
#47
83.23.0
93.790.7
Auto9.7
Teleop46.0
End27.5
blue by 5.2
48
#39
88.51.5
90.188.7
Auto14.8
Teleop47.1
End26.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
14%Rotor oddsEarned92%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed