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Red379
91095.3
384797.8
3824115.2
Blue386
1018106.5
1024108.8
33129.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3283830200600800379386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#44
115.24.0
117.0121.1
Auto16.9
Teleop51.8
End46.5
blue by 13.8
33
#7
129.01.9
133.7135.6
Auto26.9
Teleop53.4
End48.7
Second
3847
#40
97.84.0
99.3103.3
Auto13.0
Teleop42.0
End42.9
blue by 11.0
1024
#27
108.81.9
102.2104.1
Auto8.4
Teleop52.5
End47.9
Third
910
#51
95.34.0
102.3106.3
Auto15.3
Teleop51.1
End28.9
blue by 11.2
1018
#52
106.51.9
121.2123.1
Auto13.8
Teleop52.2
End40.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
19%Rotor oddsEarned90%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsMissed5%Pressure oddsEarned