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Red345
1987111.3
151182.0
340111.3
Blue371
225109.0
29283.2
1114137.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3233660100200400500600700345371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#21
111.32.2
107.1109.3
Auto15.1
Teleop53.7
End42.5
blue by 26.0
137.31.6
135.8137.4
Auto30.2
Teleop56.1
End51.0
Second
340
#38
111.32.2
115.9118.1
Auto9.1
Teleop58.6
End43.5
red by 2.2
225
#9
109.01.6
115.9117.5
Auto17.8
Teleop56.0
End35.2
Third
1511
#67
82.02.2
89.391.5
Auto13.2
Teleop37.0
End31.8
blue by 1.2
292
#47
83.21.6
90.792.3
Auto9.7
Teleop46.0
End27.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
41%Rotor oddsEarned23%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed99%Pressure oddsEarned