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Red345
469117.3
1676116.5
4272103.4
Blue357
2169114.4
2337113.3
4188100.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358327100150200250300400450500345357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#37
117.30.6
112.3112.9
Auto10.0
Teleop51.5
End55.9
red by 2.9
2169
#23
114.42.5
119.7122.2
Auto10.0
Teleop57.4
End47.1
Second
1676
#24
116.50.6
119.9120.6
Auto14.7
Teleop52.8
End49.1
red by 3.2
113.32.5
101.7104.2
Auto28.3
Teleop47.4
End37.6
Third
4272
#10
103.40.6
103.5104.2
Auto13.1
Teleop49.4
End40.9
red by 3.2
4188
#18
100.22.5
93.195.6
Auto9.9
Teleop51.2
End39.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
94%Rotor oddsEarned19%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed71%Pressure oddsEarned