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Qual 112017 IROC
Red305
451463.3
511588.3
33965.2
Blue345
62387.5
533891.6
2537110.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1892940100400500600700305345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5115
#19
88.37.5
82.2→89.7
Auto7.6
Teleop37.1
End43.5
blue by 22.2
2537
#1
110.55.3
100.0→105.2
Auto13.4
Teleop52.3
End44.8
Second
339
#6
65.27.5
53.3→60.8
Auto6.0
Teleop36.1
End23.2
blue by 26.4
5338
#16
91.65.3
87.7→93.0
Auto11.8
Teleop41.3
End38.5
Third
4514
#29
63.37.5
57.1→64.6
Auto7.9
Teleop25.2
End30.2
blue by 24.2
623
#2
87.55.3
78.4→83.6
Auto12.0
Teleop45.2
End30.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed14%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed