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Qual 122017 IROC
Red205
61976.4
594562.4
188596.7
Blue195
346B35.0
141884.5
62080.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26124402004006008001,000205195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#5
96.72.7
100.8→98.1
Auto12.7
Teleop53.1
End30.9
red by 12.2
1418
#25Sur
84.52.6
97.1→94.5
Auto9.8
Teleop35.3
End39.4
Second
619
#23Sur
76.42.7
79.1→76.4
Auto6.8
Teleop34.7
End34.9
blue by 3.8
620
#18
80.32.6
95.5→92.9
Auto7.9
Teleop38.9
End33.5
Third
5945
#12
62.42.7
66.2→63.4
Auto7.3
Teleop26.4
End28.7
red by 27.3
346B
Unranked
35.04.3
41.4→37.1
Auto4.3
Teleop24.1
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed7%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed