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Qual 172017 IROC
Red55
658444.4
451463.3
533891.6
Blue255
108658.4
188596.7
112362.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23522610015020025030055255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#16
91.611.2
98.9→87.7
Auto11.8
Teleop41.3
End38.5
blue by 5.1
1885
#5
96.70.7
98.1→97.4
Auto12.7
Teleop53.1
End30.9
Second
4514
#29
63.311.2
65.7→54.5
Auto7.9
Teleop25.2
End30.2
red by 0.4
1123
#17
62.80.7
66.4→65.7
Auto4.5
Teleop32.5
End25.8
Third
6584
#30DQ
44.411.2
57.9→46.8
Auto4.8
Teleop27.4
End12.2
blue by 14.0
1086
#11
58.40.7
51.4→50.7
Auto10.4
Teleop30.4
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed5%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed