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Qual 182017 IROC
Red115
337356.5
583031.6
138990.1
Blue165
33965.2
141884.5
189571.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214211100150200250300115165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1389
#20
90.16.5
96.2→89.7
Auto5.2
Teleop39.7
End45.2
red by 5.6
1418
#25
84.53.4
94.5→91.1
Auto9.8
Teleop35.3
End39.4
Second
3373
#27
56.56.5
63.0→56.5
Auto4.9
Teleop22.4
End29.2
blue by 14.8
1895
#13
71.43.4
72.3→68.8
Auto6.3
Teleop37.9
End27.1
Third
5830
#7
31.66.5
28.8→22.3
Auto1.9
Teleop17.1
End12.6
blue by 33.6
339
#6
65.23.4
49.7→46.3
Auto6.0
Teleop36.1
End23.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed