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Qual 192017 IROC
Red246
34697.8
346B35.0
511588.3
Blue195
206839.9
173198.5
191519.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2341550100200300400500246195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#8
97.80.6
93.5→94.1
Auto9.6
Teleop52.0
End36.1
blue by 0.8
1731
#9
98.51.8
98.2→100.1
Auto11.0
Teleop41.9
End45.6
Second
5115
#19
88.30.6
81.6→82.2
Auto7.6
Teleop37.1
End43.5
red by 48.4
2068
#28
39.91.8
37.3→39.2
Auto2.1
Teleop28.1
End9.7
Third
346B
Unranked
35.01.0
37.1→38.1
Auto4.3
Teleop24.1
End6.6
red by 15.9
1915
#32
19.11.8
21.9→23.8
Auto1.0
Teleop8.5
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
6%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed