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Red343
383592.8
1577100.9
3339117.0
Blue305
223184.4
5635106.1
331690.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3152820100200400500600343305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3339
#12
117.03.2
106.4109.6
Auto13.4
Teleop52.3
End51.3
red by 10.9
5635
#14
106.12.2
101.4103.6
Auto10.9
Teleop41.9
End53.4
Second
1577
#40
100.93.2
97.1100.3
Auto9.7
Teleop50.2
End40.9
red by 10.8
3316
#33
90.12.2
88.290.3
Auto12.1
Teleop41.0
End37.0
Third
92.83.2
91.694.8
Auto4.4
Teleop46.6
End41.7
red by 8.4
2231
#18
84.42.2
82.985.1
Auto9.3
Teleop37.1
End38.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed