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Red340
194392.7
592889.8
5614101.2
Blue279
4590104.2
157370.7
2679102.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292267100150200250350400450340279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.20.7
97.698.3
Auto11.5
Teleop48.8
End41.0
blue by 3.0
104.21.4
100.9102.4
Auto12.3
Teleop40.9
End51.1
Second
1943
#15
92.70.7
90.190.8
Auto6.5
Teleop38.8
End47.4
blue by 9.3
2679
#20
102.01.4
93.394.7
Auto11.7
Teleop43.8
End46.6
Third
5928
#22
89.80.7
86.787.4
Auto6.0
Teleop31.9
End52.0
red by 19.1
1573
#43
70.71.4
63.164.5
Auto8.5
Teleop37.3
End24.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed