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Red264
5654109.2
458681.1
223092.1
Blue240
4320109.5
383592.8
5635106.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29133202004006008001,000264240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#13
109.20.4
108.7108.3
Auto13.1
Teleop46.5
End49.6
blue by 0.3
4320
#21
109.51.6
109.3107.7
Auto12.7
Teleop49.1
End47.6
Second
2230
#39
92.10.4
91.691.3
Auto12.8
Teleop43.9
End35.4
blue by 14.1
5635
#14
106.11.6
105.9104.3
Auto10.9
Teleop41.9
End53.4
Third
4586
#11
81.10.4
80.780.3
Auto9.5
Teleop43.1
End28.5
blue by 11.6
92.81.6
92.691.0
Auto4.4
Teleop46.6
End41.7