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Red350
673853.5
157493.7
2230115.9
Blue155
565481.0
574763.9
165749.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2732010100300400500600350155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.92.2
111.2113.4
Auto18.4
Teleop51.2
End46.4
red by 34.9
5654
#13
81.01.2
83.181.9
Auto6.2
Teleop35.0
End39.8
Second
93.72.2
89.091.2
Auto15.0
Teleop39.1
End39.6
red by 29.8
63.91.2
66.064.8
Auto6.6
Teleop30.3
End27.0
Third
6738
#20
53.52.2
48.851.0
Auto7.0
Teleop31.9
End14.6
red by 3.8
1657
#33
49.71.2
51.850.6
Auto8.3
Teleop29.3
End12.1