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Red235
475757.5
599079.8
503856.1
Blue185
263048.0
331671.3
459069.0
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199197120140160180220240260280235185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.81.3
77.178.4
Auto4.5
Teleop32.7
End42.6
red by 8.5
71.30.1
71.471.3
Auto9.9
Teleop34.6
End26.8
Second
4757
#30
57.51.3
56.257.5
Auto8.1
Teleop31.4
End18.0
blue by 11.5
4590
#15
69.00.1
69.169.0
Auto1.0
Teleop29.7
End38.4
Third
5038
#26
56.11.3
53.554.8
Auto6.2
Teleop30.2
End19.7
red by 8.2
2630
#18
48.00.1
48.148.0
Auto9.2
Teleop25.4
End13.4