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Red245
475757.5
599079.8
503856.1
Blue255
263048.0
331671.3
459069.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194191120140160180220240260280245255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.81.7
75.477.1
Auto4.5
Teleop32.7
End42.6
red by 8.5
71.32.0
69.471.4
Auto9.9
Teleop34.6
End26.8
Second
4757
#30
57.51.7
54.556.2
Auto8.1
Teleop31.4
End18.0
blue by 11.5
4590
#15
69.02.0
67.269.1
Auto1.0
Teleop29.7
End38.4
Third
5038
#26
56.11.7
51.753.5
Auto6.2
Teleop30.2
End19.7
red by 8.2
2630
#18
48.02.0
46.148.1
Auto9.2
Teleop25.4
End13.4