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Red255
475757.5
599079.8
503856.1
Blue195
263048.0
331671.3
459069.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1831930100300400500600700255195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.82.2
73.275.4
Auto4.5
Teleop32.7
End42.6
red by 8.5
71.30.4
69.069.4
Auto9.9
Teleop34.6
End26.8
Second
4757
#30
57.52.2
52.354.5
Auto8.1
Teleop31.4
End18.0
blue by 11.5
4590
#15
69.00.4
66.867.2
Auto1.0
Teleop29.7
End38.4
Third
5038
#26
56.12.2
49.651.7
Auto6.2
Teleop30.2
End19.7
red by 8.2
2630
#18
48.00.4
45.746.1
Auto9.2
Teleop25.4
End13.4