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Red135
303455.2
674056.0
529173.7
Blue285
565481.0
574763.9
165749.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2011920100300400500600700135285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5291
#16
73.71.5
75.173.7
Auto2.8
Teleop32.9
End37.9
blue by 7.3
5654
#13
81.02.6
77.179.8
Auto6.2
Teleop35.0
End39.8
Second
56.01.5
57.556.0
Auto4.4
Teleop36.3
End15.3
blue by 7.9
63.92.6
60.062.7
Auto6.6
Teleop30.3
End27.0
Third
3034
#28
55.21.5
56.755.2
Auto8.0
Teleop35.2
End12.0
red by 5.6
1657
#33
49.72.6
45.848.5
Auto8.3
Teleop29.3
End12.1