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Red217
673853.5
157493.7
2230115.9
Blue105
595150.3
158041.4
308362.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2711500100200300400500600217105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.91.3
108.3107.0
Auto18.4
Teleop51.2
End46.4
red by 53.2
3083
#14
62.71.5
64.162.7
Auto7.0
Teleop21.9
End33.7
Second
93.71.3
86.184.8
Auto15.0
Teleop39.1
End39.6
red by 43.4
5951
#11
50.31.5
51.850.3
Auto5.0
Teleop30.0
End15.3
Third
6738
#20
53.51.3
45.844.5
Auto7.0
Teleop31.9
End14.6
red by 12.1
1580
#10
41.41.5
42.941.4
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End19.8