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Red370
673853.5
157493.7
2230115.9
Blue273
194267.2
433874.2
458669.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2612090100300400500600370273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.93.0
108.3111.2
Auto18.4
Teleop51.2
End46.4
red by 41.7
74.21.8
72.474.2
Auto6.1
Teleop34.1
End34.0
Second
93.73.0
86.189.0
Auto15.0
Teleop39.1
End39.6
red by 24.2
4586
#17
69.51.8
67.669.5
Auto5.3
Teleop31.0
End33.2
Third
6738
#20
53.53.0
45.848.8
Auto7.0
Teleop31.9
End14.6
blue by 13.8
67.21.8
65.467.2
Auto11.5
Teleop30.8
End24.9