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Red281
673853.5
157493.7
2230115.9
Blue245
595150.3
158041.4
308362.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2731400100200400500600281245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.90.1
108.4108.3
Auto18.4
Teleop51.2
End46.4
red by 53.2
3083
#14
62.72.5
61.664.1
Auto7.0
Teleop21.9
End33.7
Second
93.70.1
86.286.1
Auto15.0
Teleop39.1
End39.6
red by 43.4
5951
#11
50.32.5
49.251.8
Auto5.0
Teleop30.0
End15.3
Third
6738
#20
53.50.1
46.045.8
Auto7.0
Teleop31.9
End14.6
red by 12.1
1580
#10
41.42.5
40.342.9
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End19.8