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Red303
673853.5
157493.7
2230115.9
Blue206
194267.2
433874.2
458669.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2562100100300400500600303206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.91.3
107.0108.3
Auto18.4
Teleop51.2
End46.4
red by 41.7
74.20.1
72.572.4
Auto6.1
Teleop34.1
End34.0
Second
93.71.3
84.886.1
Auto15.0
Teleop39.1
End39.6
red by 24.2
4586
#17
69.50.1
67.867.6
Auto5.3
Teleop31.0
End33.2
Third
6738
#20
53.51.3
44.545.8
Auto7.0
Teleop31.9
End14.6
blue by 13.8
67.20.1
65.565.4
Auto11.5
Teleop30.8
End24.9