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Red246
592848.5
193780.5
169084.9
Blue312
194267.2
433874.2
458669.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2262040100300400246312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
#23
84.90.9
84.084.9
Auto12.9
Teleop30.2
End41.8
red by 10.7
74.23.1
69.472.5
Auto6.1
Teleop34.1
End34.0
Second
80.50.9
79.780.5
Auto10.1
Teleop38.9
End31.6
red by 11.1
4586
#17
69.53.1
64.667.8
Auto5.3
Teleop31.0
End33.2
Third
5928
#22
48.50.9
47.748.5
Auto4.0
Teleop22.2
End22.4
blue by 18.7
67.23.1
62.465.5
Auto11.5
Teleop30.8
End24.9