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Red255
165749.7
574763.9
565481.0
Blue170
503856.1
599079.8
673748.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2041880100300400500255170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#13
81.01.7
79.881.5
Auto6.2
Teleop35.0
End39.8
red by 1.2
79.80.4
78.478.0
Auto4.5
Teleop32.7
End42.6
Second
63.91.7
62.764.4
Auto6.6
Teleop30.3
End27.0
red by 7.7
5038
#26
56.10.4
54.854.4
Auto6.2
Teleop30.2
End19.7
Third
1657
#33
49.71.7
48.550.2
Auto8.3
Teleop29.3
End12.1
red by 1.0
6737
#21
48.70.4
47.346.9
Auto6.8
Teleop19.8
End22.0