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Red325
673641.0
5291100.1
503874.1
Blue215
194449.7
338862.7
194266.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2341770100200300400325215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.11.9
99.7101.6
Auto5.6
Teleop40.1
End54.3
red by 34.1
1942
#24
66.00.8
65.266.0
Auto9.8
Teleop38.2
End18.0
Second
74.11.9
73.875.7
Auto10.7
Teleop38.5
End25.0
red by 11.4
3388
#12
62.70.9
61.862.7
Auto13.3
Teleop28.6
End20.8
Third
6736
#26
41.02.3
40.542.8
Auto6.9
Teleop22.9
End11.2
blue by 8.8
1944
#16
49.70.8
49.049.7
Auto10.5
Teleop33.7
End5.6