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Red165
673641.0
5291100.1
503874.1
Blue305
432069.6
561476.2
474463.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2362000100300400500165305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.11.2
101.3100.1
Auto5.6
Teleop40.1
End54.3
red by 23.9
76.23.0
71.474.4
Auto11.9
Teleop32.6
End31.7
Second
74.11.2
75.374.1
Auto10.7
Teleop38.5
End25.0
red by 4.5
4320
#18
69.63.0
64.867.8
Auto11.8
Teleop26.5
End31.3
Third
6736
#26
41.01.5
42.441.0
Auto6.9
Teleop22.9
End11.2
blue by 22.5
4744
#19
63.43.0
58.661.6
Auto3.1
Teleop32.9
End27.4