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Red250
673754.0
563573.2
610473.1
Blue266
432069.6
561476.2
474463.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2101900100300400250266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.21.5
71.773.2
Auto5.8
Teleop38.6
End28.7
blue by 3.0
76.22.1
67.469.5
Auto11.9
Teleop32.6
End31.7
Second
73.11.5
71.673.1
Auto9.1
Teleop27.7
End36.3
red by 3.5
4320
#18
69.62.1
60.862.9
Auto11.8
Teleop26.5
End31.3
Third
6737
#20
54.01.2
52.854.0
Auto5.7
Teleop26.1
End22.2
blue by 9.4
4744
#19
63.42.1
54.756.8
Auto3.1
Teleop32.9
End27.4