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Red245
555449.8
383580.8
209663.9
Blue170
571548.0
333973.4
221252.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180181120140160200220240260245170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.82.0
72.974.9
Auto7.7
Teleop36.0
End37.1
red by 7.4
73.40.2
72.172.0
Auto9.5
Teleop38.6
End25.3
Second
2096
#13
63.92.0
56.158.1
Auto4.6
Teleop28.6
End30.7
red by 11.0
2212
#25
52.90.2
51.651.4
Auto5.0
Teleop27.8
End20.2
Third
5554
#22
49.81.8
42.744.5
Auto8.9
Teleop30.8
End10.1
red by 1.8
5715
#15
48.00.1
46.946.8
Auto11.6
Teleop29.4
End7.1