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Red270
555449.8
383580.8
209663.9
Blue250
571548.0
333973.4
221252.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189178050100150250300350400270250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.81.8
74.976.8
Auto7.7
Teleop36.0
End37.1
red by 7.4
73.41.5
72.073.4
Auto9.5
Teleop38.6
End25.3
Second
2096
#13
63.91.8
58.159.9
Auto4.6
Teleop28.6
End30.7
red by 11.0
2212
#25
52.91.5
51.452.9
Auto5.0
Teleop27.8
End20.2
Third
5554
#22
49.81.7
44.546.1
Auto8.9
Teleop30.8
End10.1
red by 1.8
5715
#15
48.01.2
46.848.0
Auto11.6
Teleop29.4
End7.1