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Red340
223146.8
1574123.5
4320106.4
Blue0
1577111.2
308378.4
474465.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28726701002004003400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.50.6
121.1121.7
Auto24.3
Teleop49.7
End49.5
red by 12.3
1577
#5DQ
111.20.0
111.6111.5
Auto11.7
Teleop43.9
End55.6
Second
106.40.6
104.0104.6
Auto14.8
Teleop38.1
End53.5
red by 28.0
3083
#4DQ
78.40.0
78.878.8
Auto7.4
Teleop33.0
End38.0
Third
2231
#24
46.80.7
43.944.6
Auto7.9
Teleop27.2
End11.6
blue by 18.6
4744
#20DQ
65.40.0
65.865.8
Auto7.1
Teleop32.9
End25.4