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Red205
474465.4
308378.4
1577111.2
Blue188
267969.5
458687.4
555471.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2752390100200300400500205188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.21.1
111.5110.3
Auto11.7
Teleop43.9
End55.6
red by 23.8
87.41.0
88.387.4
Auto8.2
Teleop36.9
End42.3
Second
78.41.1
78.777.6
Auto7.4
Teleop33.0
End38.0
red by 6.7
5554
#18
71.71.0
72.771.7
Auto12.5
Teleop33.3
End25.9
Third
4744
#20
65.41.1
65.764.6
Auto7.1
Teleop32.9
End25.4
blue by 4.1
2679
#11
69.51.2
70.769.5
Auto5.5
Teleop32.5
End31.5