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Red305
565498.4
331686.4
165783.0
Blue335
321190.9
383589.6
306579.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282264100200400500600305335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#16
98.40.9
97.598.4
Auto10.8
Teleop37.5
End50.2
red by 7.6
3211
#12
90.91.2
88.789.8
Auto10.9
Teleop34.2
End45.7
Second
86.40.9
85.586.4
Auto10.5
Teleop38.1
End37.9
blue by 3.2
89.61.2
87.488.5
Auto6.5
Teleop40.7
End42.4
Third
83.00.9
82.183.0
Auto9.9
Teleop34.9
End38.2
red by 3.6
3065
#19
79.31.2
77.278.3
Auto11.8
Teleop39.6
End28.0