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Red245
673859.9
592879.1
616870.2
Blue310
1577111.2
308378.4
474465.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2082760100300400500245310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5928
#10
79.10.9
78.379.1
Auto7.6
Teleop31.2
End40.3
blue by 32.1
111.21.2
110.4111.6
Auto11.7
Teleop43.9
End55.6
Second
6168
#22
70.20.9
69.470.2
Auto9.1
Teleop30.8
End30.3
blue by 8.2
78.41.2
77.678.8
Auto7.4
Teleop33.0
End38.0
Third
6738
#26
59.90.9
59.159.9
Auto7.8
Teleop32.4
End19.7
blue by 5.5
4744
#20
65.41.2
64.665.8
Auto7.1
Teleop32.9
End25.4