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Red254
223162.9
459090.2
433896.9
Blue205
333990.2
194382.4
466150.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267233100200300400500254205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.90.1
96.496.5
Auto13.6
Teleop35.3
End47.9
red by 6.7
3339
#11
90.20.5
91.090.6
Auto11.8
Teleop43.1
End35.2
Second
90.20.1
89.789.8
Auto7.8
Teleop36.1
End46.4
red by 7.8
82.40.5
83.382.8
Auto9.0
Teleop39.2
End34.2
Third
2231
#25
62.90.1
62.462.5
Auto9.3
Teleop32.1
End21.5
red by 12.7
4661
#24
50.10.5
51.050.6
Auto5.4
Teleop33.7
End11.1