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Red266
223162.9
459090.2
433896.9
Blue205
333990.2
194382.4
466150.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2682310100200300400500266205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.90.4
96.596.9
Auto13.6
Teleop35.3
End47.9
red by 6.7
3339
#11
90.20.4
90.690.2
Auto11.8
Teleop43.1
End35.2
Second
90.20.4
89.890.2
Auto7.8
Teleop36.1
End46.4
red by 7.8
82.40.4
82.882.4
Auto9.0
Teleop39.2
End34.2
Third
2231
#25
62.90.4
62.562.9
Auto9.3
Teleop32.1
End21.5
red by 12.7
4661
#24
50.10.4
50.650.1
Auto5.4
Teleop33.7
End11.1