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Red323
674155.3
1690107.4
193793.5
Blue343
433896.9
459090.2
223162.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2662490100200300400500323343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.41.2
105.1106.3
Auto21.9
Teleop45.0
End40.5
red by 10.5
96.91.7
93.094.6
Auto13.6
Teleop35.3
End47.9
Second
1937
#10
93.51.2
91.292.4
Auto11.3
Teleop44.6
End37.6
red by 3.3
90.21.7
86.388.0
Auto7.8
Teleop36.1
End46.4
Third
6741
#17
55.31.2
53.054.2
Auto11.5
Teleop43.8
End-0.0
blue by 7.6
2231
#25
62.91.7
59.060.6
Auto9.3
Teleop32.1
End21.5