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Red329
674155.3
1690107.4
193793.5
Blue255
598772.1
614969.1
527359.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270196100300400500329255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.41.4
103.7105.1
Auto21.9
Teleop45.0
End40.5
red by 35.3
5987
#19
72.11.3
70.872.1
Auto9.6
Teleop26.9
End35.6
Second
1937
#10
93.51.4
89.891.2
Auto11.3
Teleop44.6
End37.6
red by 24.4
6149
#14
69.11.3
67.869.1
Auto8.4
Teleop33.5
End27.1
Third
6741
#17
55.31.4
51.653.0
Auto11.5
Teleop43.8
End-0.0
blue by 3.7
5273
#23
59.01.3
57.759.0
Auto6.2
Teleop28.9
End23.9