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Red491
674155.3
1690107.4
193793.5
Blue311
433896.9
459090.2
223162.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2692540100200300400500600491311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.41.8
106.3108.1
Auto21.9
Teleop45.0
End40.5
red by 10.5
96.91.4
94.696.0
Auto13.6
Teleop35.3
End47.9
Second
1937
#10
93.51.8
92.494.2
Auto11.3
Teleop44.6
End37.6
red by 3.3
90.21.4
88.089.4
Auto7.8
Teleop36.1
End46.4
Third
6741
#17
55.31.8
54.256.0
Auto11.5
Teleop43.8
End-0.0
blue by 7.6
2231
#25
62.91.4
60.662.0
Auto9.3
Teleop32.1
End21.5