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Red215
574764.8
563596.5
595177.2
Blue306
333990.2
194382.4
466150.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259216100300400500215306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.50.8
96.996.1
Auto9.8
Teleop37.7
End49.0
red by 6.4
3339
#11
90.22.1
86.288.3
Auto11.8
Teleop43.1
End35.2
Second
5951
#13
77.20.8
77.576.8
Auto11.0
Teleop37.4
End28.8
blue by 5.2
82.42.1
78.580.6
Auto9.0
Teleop39.2
End34.2
Third
5747
#16
64.80.8
65.264.4
Auto8.9
Teleop32.8
End23.1
red by 14.7
4661
#24
50.12.1
46.248.3
Auto5.4
Teleop33.7
End11.1