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Red203
338858.8
5614105.2
263070.4
Blue315
433896.9
459090.2
223162.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251244100200300400500203315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.20.9
106.1105.2
Auto10.0
Teleop42.9
End52.3
red by 8.3
96.91.8
91.293.0
Auto13.6
Teleop35.3
End47.9
Second
2630
#21
70.40.9
71.370.4
Auto7.8
Teleop34.1
End28.6
blue by 19.8
90.21.8
84.586.3
Auto7.8
Teleop36.1
End46.4
Third
3388
#15
58.80.9
59.758.8
Auto11.5
Teleop31.0
End16.3
blue by 4.1
2231
#25
62.91.8
57.159.0
Auto9.3
Teleop32.1
End21.5