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Red280
574764.8
563596.5
595177.2
Blue334
333990.2
194382.4
466150.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2542250100200300400500280334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.50.4
96.196.5
Auto9.8
Teleop37.7
End49.0
red by 6.4
3339
#11
90.21.9
88.390.3
Auto11.8
Teleop43.1
End35.2
Second
5951
#13
77.20.4
76.877.2
Auto11.0
Teleop37.4
End28.8
blue by 5.2
82.41.9
80.682.5
Auto9.0
Teleop39.2
End34.2
Third
5747
#16
64.80.4
64.464.8
Auto8.9
Teleop32.8
End23.1
red by 14.7
4661
#24
50.11.9
48.350.3
Auto5.4
Teleop33.7
End11.1