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Red240
549292.5
396678.6
349485.7
Blue265
651771.9
457684.8
463062.3
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2792230100400500600700800240265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
Unranked
92.50.0
92.592.5
Auto9.3
Teleop43.8
End39.4
red by 7.7
4576
Unranked
84.80.0
84.884.8
Auto7.4
Teleop31.8
End45.6
Second
3494
Unranked
85.70.0
85.785.7
Auto9.4
Teleop39.8
End36.6
red by 13.8
6517
Unranked
71.90.0
71.971.9
Auto6.0
Teleop29.3
End36.6
Third
3966
Unranked
78.60.0
78.678.6
Auto9.0
Teleop38.4
End31.2
red by 16.3
4630
Unranked
62.30.0
62.362.3
Auto6.0
Teleop37.9
End18.3