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Red140
502261.2
602390.6
278392.5
Blue265
651771.9
457684.8
463062.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2672250100300400500600700140265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
Unranked
92.50.0
92.592.5
Auto7.7
Teleop47.7
End37.2
red by 7.7
4576
Unranked
84.80.0
84.884.8
Auto7.4
Teleop31.8
End45.6
Second
6023
Unranked
90.60.0
90.690.6
Auto11.5
Teleop40.7
End38.4
red by 18.7
6517
Unranked
71.90.0
71.971.9
Auto6.0
Teleop29.3
End36.6
Third
5022
Unranked
61.20.0
61.261.2
Auto6.0
Teleop28.1
End27.0
blue by 1.1
4630
Unranked
62.30.0
62.362.3
Auto6.0
Teleop37.9
End18.3