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Red185
403456.9
206795.8
405573.8
Blue255
9751.4
620192.1
556366.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2471890100300400500185255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.80.9
95.894.8
Auto8.1
Teleop38.5
End49.1
red by 3.6
92.11.5
84.686.1
Auto12.5
Teleop45.0
End34.6
Second
4055
#10
73.80.9
73.872.9
Auto6.6
Teleop29.0
End38.2
red by 7.4
5563
#18
66.41.5
58.960.4
Auto12.1
Teleop31.7
End22.6
Third
4034
#28
56.90.9
56.956.0
Auto3.1
Teleop25.4
End28.4
red by 5.5
97
#19
51.41.5
43.945.4
Auto7.1
Teleop26.9
End17.4