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Red355
395866.2
6763110.6
95100.6
Blue316
230104.1
21391.3
130763.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296264100200400500355316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
110.60.6
110.2110.9
Auto13.0
Teleop52.6
End45.0
red by 6.5
230
#8
104.11.4
102.7104.1
Auto16.2
Teleop45.9
End42.0
Second
95
#14
100.60.6
100.2100.8
Auto8.9
Teleop48.8
End43.0
red by 9.3
213
#4
91.31.4
89.991.3
Auto8.3
Teleop36.8
End46.2
Third
3958
#17
66.20.6
65.866.4
Auto7.9
Teleop31.8
End26.5
red by 2.7
1307
#16
63.51.4
62.163.5
Auto7.2
Teleop33.9
End22.4