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Red221
130763.5
21391.3
230104.1
Blue195
15564.1
23752.7
320576.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2801850100400500221195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#8
104.10.7
101.9101.2
Auto16.2
Teleop45.9
End42.0
red by 27.8
3205
#21
76.40.1
74.874.9
Auto8.2
Teleop29.1
End39.0
Second
213
#4
91.30.7
89.188.4
Auto8.3
Teleop36.8
End46.2
red by 27.2
155
#24
64.10.1
62.562.7
Auto6.9
Teleop35.4
End21.9
Third
1307
#16
63.50.7
61.360.6
Auto7.2
Teleop33.9
End22.4
red by 10.9
237
#7
52.70.1
51.151.2
Auto8.4
Teleop31.0
End13.2